The Dream Shake - a Houston Rockets blog: The Houston Rockets - revisiting bad habits

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

The Houston Rockets - revisiting bad habits

The Houston Rockets' 2007/2008 season really is divided as such.

The 2007 (October through December 31st) Rockets were a team unsure of themselves, prone to turnovers, sloppy defense and a healthy tendency to stand around and wait for Tracy McGrady to do something. With Tracy mirroring that effort and refusing to keep the ball moving. (We did have Yao, and he's a badass, but Tracy was a black-hole for most of December. And don't get me started on the '07 version of Rafer.)

The 2008 Rockets, i.e., the post-January 2nd Rockets, were a completely different animal. And yes, stick with me - I used the term "were" intentionally for the moment. T-Mac got hurt, Yao was getting angry and the proverbial light bulb came on. The Rockets started winning. By the end of January, the Rockets had their shit figured out. 22 times in a row as evidence of that. Tracy had returned to being T-Mac. Rafer sucked slightly less than was expected of him. We found a way to jettison Bonzi and Mike James. Carl Landry was allowed to come out of the locker room and actually play. Scola forced his way into the lineup. It was a beautiful thing.

And why?

Because -- on both ends of the floor -- the Rockets were hustling, moving the ball and making the other team work for everything. We were getting good shots and preventing the bad guys from taking good shots. That's usually the formula for success, and we owned a strangehold on it for over two months.

Now? Now I'm not so sure.

Losses in the past few weeks to Utah, Denver, Sacramento, San Antonio, and Phoenix (the 3/22 game)... not good. As Marv Albert would say, "the Rockets are showing some signs..." -- just not the good kind of signs. No. T-Mac turned back into Tracy, which is to say the unnecessarily contested three-pointer in transition became a staple of our offense again. The ball movement slowed, or wholly disappeared. The defense was there, but we all of a sudden stopped getting all of the loose balls. Dikembe's finger wag only appeared once or twice a week, instead of once or twice a quarter.

I wrote it off as post-Streak blues. It was to be expected, right?

Today? Well, now that the Rockets blew a chance to be the #1 seed, and now can't get any higher than the 5th seed, is definite cause for concern.

I watched about half of last night's game (hey, I have a trial this week - I'm busy!!). But aside from the constant effort put forth by Scola and Battier, the Rockets look burned out. The NBA has a scouting report on Carl Landry now. That and he doesn't seem 100% healthy. McGrady's bad body language is back. He scowls at everything now and has become stand-offish. Not good!! Rafer is sucking again. Luther Head is shooting better, but still can't make a post-entry pass.

(Of course, our rookies are still kicking ass. Rookie wall my ass!)

The problem is that we now face a very strong likelihood of seeing San Antonio or Utah in the 1st round. The same two teams that have destroyed this incarnation of the Rockets recently. And we won't have the homecourt advantage. Utah is only 37-4 at home after last night. San Antonio isn't much worse - at 33-7. The Rockets will probably have to win at least 2 road playoff games to have a chance. Yikes. Two weeks ago, I'd have said "no problem." Today... color me concerned.

I know the Rockets can do it, but they are feeding off Tracy's negative energy right now. Kinda like Ghostbusters II.
So, who ya gonna call? Well, uh, we can't exactly call Yao Ming. Or Hakeem.

We have less than one week to figure this out. Let's get it together, guys!


UofTOrange said...

I haven't done the exact math yet, but I believe (assuming we win tomorrow) that if we face the Jazz it would only be with homecourt advantage, because that means they lost to SA.

Forshizzzle said...

I think you gotta assume that Phoenix beats the Blazers at home and Rockets beat the Clips at home. So if Utah beats San Antonio, you've got a four way tie (and this is also assuming that NO wins on of their last two games (They've got to beat the Clips at home right?)

In the case of the four-way tie, (TrueHoop did a blog post about this scenario yesterday) the seeds would go 3. Utah 4. Phoenix 5. Houston 6. SA. Then to determine home court, you'd do the head-to-head tiebreaker and Houston would have the home court based on a superior conference record.

If Utah loses, they would be guaranteed the four seed, even though SA, Houston and Phoenix would have a better record. Using the round-robin tie breaker, Phoenix would get the three seed, Houston would get the five seed and SA would get the six seed.

If Phoenix loses and Utah wins, Utah would get the three seed, Houston would be the four seed with a .429 winning percentage against Utah and SA and SA would be the five seed by virtue of a .375 winning percentage against Utah and Houston. But SA would get home court because of better division record.

If Phoenix loses and Utah loses. Utah gets the four seed because they are a division winner. Houston gets five seed with homecourt. SA gets to face Phoenix with homecourt.

I will not even consider the Rockets losing at home to the Clippers in a game they absolutely must have. Worst case scenario is Phoenix losing and Utah winning. SA in the first round without homecourt would be tough.

I thought the team played ok last night for stretches, and I would love to see if they could put things together against Utah. After we handled the Suns on Friday, I think we'd have a good chance against them. I guess we shall see.

Anonymous said...

I really hope that we (Utah Jazz) play you in the playoffs, and that you have homecourt advantage. Watching us beat you again would be very pleasurable, and I'd love to hear more bitching about it, especially from you. And if we are the lucky ones who get to end your season earlier than you hoped, I'll be the first in line to wave good-bye, see you next year.